Paid social advertising is evolving, and by 2025, Meta’s new incrementality-based attribution model will change how campaigns are measured and optimized.
Meta’s traditional click-based attribution is being replaced by incremental attribution. This new approach compares ad-exposed audiences with unexposed control groups to identify conversions that wouldn’t have occurred without advertising—revealing true campaign impact.
Key benefits
- Transparency: Identify campaigns that truly generate value.
- Budget optimization: Focus resources on impactful strategies.
- Smarter decisions: Rely on data, not assumptions.
Impact on retargeting and prospecting
- Lower retargeting impact: Retargeting often involves users who would purchase anyway, reducing its value.
- Growth through prospecting: Prospecting campaigns bring in new customers and are likely to drive higher incremental value.
Redefining success metrics
Conversions alone are no longer enough. Advertisers need to ask:
- Which campaigns drive real performance?
- What measurable results are they achieving?
Meta’s new model simplifies performance data and reallocates budgets to high-impact campaigns. Success in 2025 will depend on delivering incremental value, not just conversions. Advertisers must adapt to stay ahead.
Matteo Milone shared these insights on his LinkedIn profile.
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